NPP running mate: Napo leads with 70% – Research Trust survey
The survey sampled views from NPP executives across polling stations as well as constituency, regional and national levels in the 16 regions
The latest nationwide survey by Research Trust Ltd, an independent and reputable research organisation, reveals that 70% of the respondents prefer Matthew Opoku Prempeh (Napo) as the ideal running mate to partner Vice-President Mahamudu Bawumia, the New Patriotic Party’s presidential candidate, in the December election.
The survey sampled views from NPP executives across polling stations as well as constituency, regional and national levels across the 16 regions.
An important element of the study which sought to identify the regional preferences of NPP executives for a potential running mate showed that more than nine out of every executives (92%) preferred the running mate to come from the Ashanti Region.
Asked who in the Ashanti Region can best support the NPP presidential candidate as a running mate, the respondent put Napo tops, with 70% of the people surveyed endorsing him.
The full results were as follows: Matthew Opoku Prempeh 70%, Frema Osei-Opare 10%, Yaw Osei Adutwum 9%, Henry Kwabena Kokofu 7.4%, Bryan Acheampong 1.2%, Naa Torshie Addo 1%, Joseph Osei Owusu 0.6%, Stephen Asamoah Boateng 0.4% and Professor Rita Akosua Dickson 0.4%.
Reasons for choice
Reasons given for the choice of a candidate by the respondents included: resourcefulness, ability to face the NDC boot for boot, understanding of grass-roots politics, good leadership skills, generosity/kindness, known popularity with the party faithful and marketability.
Napo scored the highest marks for all the indicators.
For instance, on the popularity and marketability of the candidate, he scored 81%, on someone who can face the NDC boot for boot 78%, on someone who understands grass-roots politics 78% and as a known party loyalist 71%.
Methodology
The survey summary shows that the data was collected over three weeks (6-26 May 2024), during the nationwide NPP presidential campaign tour by Dr Bawumia.
“A total of 140 constituencies out of the 275 were sampled for the study, representing about 52% of all constituencies in Ghana,” the survey summary says. “The number of sampled constituencies within a region was proportional to the total number of constituencies in that region, though some consideration was made for regions where the NPP had more votes in the 2016 and 2020 general elections.
“That is, more constituencies were sampled in the Ashanti, Eastern, Greater Accra and Western Regions relative to regions such as … North East and Ahafo … for example.
“In each sampled constituency, the survey aimed at interviewing four constituency executives, giving a total of 560 constituency-level data,” the report says.
“In addition, four random polling stations within the constituency were sampled. In each sampled polling station, a total of three NPP polling station executives were randomly selected and interviewed. This gave a total of 720 polling station-level interviews.
“An additional four first-time voters (two male and two female where possible) in each selected polling station were sampled to respond to the questions. That is, data from 960 first-time voters [was] collected as part of this survey.
“The total sample for our analysis was 2,240 respondents,” the report further says.
Reporting by Wilberforce Asare in London
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